San Diego. CRAA has the Toreros at #19 and GRR at #17. This is just a case of GRR having a West Coast team ranked ahead of two Eastern teams (Davenport and St. Thomas). That's because we know Davenport and St. Thomas will be playing more this spring and will show whether they should move up in those games.
Also, we've watched San Diego and we think they are just a shade better than those other two, at the moment.
Next up, Grand Canyon and Penn State. This is definitely a West Coast vs East Coast dichotomy. GRR has the Western team GCU ranked #13 while CRAA has the 'Lopes at #16. It's an exactly reverse with Penn State (!6 for GRR and 13 for CRAA). This again is a function of recent results. Grand Canyon's close loss to BYU and their win over Trinity Western prompts GRR's decision.
Coming up, GCU will play UCLA this coming weekend and Cal the week after, which will tell us a lot. They wrap up their pre-playoff season with Utah and Utah Valley. Penn State has a full March, with games against Lindenwood, Arkansas State, St. Thomas, and Mary Washington.
So we're not too worried about this difference in rankings. PSU, if they produce good results in March, could easily move up on GRR's rankings.
GRR has Colorado State ranked higher than does CRAA, and we do think the CRAA voters are missing the boat on Colorado State. Not by much ... GRR has the Rams at #12 and CRAA has CSU at #15. But that means, probably, that everyone else voting in the CRAA rankings think CSU should be #16 or maybe lower. Probably a happy medium at #14 or #13 might be better.
See? We're willing to compromise.
Mary Washington is in the opposite situation. GRR has the Eagles at #14 and CRAA has them at #11. For GRR there are two factors that drive the #14 ranking. The first is that UMW beat Penn State 24-22. This, to us, links both teams fairly closely. We have UMW at #14 and PSU at #16. CRAA thinks the same way, but has those two at #11 and #13.
OK ... but for us Mary Washington is a very good team but hasn't challenged the big dogs. Big loss vs Navy, big loss vs Life, relatively big loss to Army. They lost to Mount St. Mary's also, 33-20. Next up, their wins have all been close—SVU, PSU, St. Thomas, Ohio State. So it's clear both rankings consider Mary Washington ahead of those 15-20 teams and below those 1-10 teams. GRR thinks the close wins and more lopsided losses puts them at the bottom edge of that region; CRAA says they should be at the top end.
Once again, results can change this. Once again, GRR has ranked an Eastern team lower than the CRAA votes do because we know the Eastern teams will play some key games in March. UMW will play Lindenwood, Mount St. Mary's, and Penn State.
A couple of the other differences are minimal. Mount St. Mary's two spots lower with GRR. Saint Mary's two spots higher with GRR (which we freely say is more of a gestalt feeling than anything else). Lindenwood two spots lower with GRR. Once again, Lindenwood's main season hasn't started yet. They've played some tough games, but the spring is their main time.
So that leaves two teams with really notable difference UCLA is #9 with GRR and #12 with CRAA. We've looked at it all and basically think CRAA is probably more correct. But we're not worried. Between now and February 28 the Bruins play Grand Canyon, BYU, San Diego, and Arizona. Since GRR has UCLA at #9 and Arizona at #10, that game will show us who's right.
And, finally, Cal. Cal is #2 with GRR and we are very, very close to putting them at #1. Cal is the defending D1A champs and they won that title with a bunch of freshmen and some, but not many, seniors. CRAA's #4 ranking for Cal is, frankly, baffling.
Well, we'll find out March 7 when Cal plays Navy.