This weekend we finish off the early summer test matches for the USA; they reconvene for August and the Pacific Nations Cup which doubles as 2027 Rugby World Cup Qualifiers.
So, as we look back at the 36-17 defeat of Belgium and the 31-20 loss to Spain, and ahead to this weekend's clash with England, there is always the specter of the Qualifiers to come.
This is an Opinion Column by Alex Goff
And, really, what do we need from this USA team? We like it when they are fun to watch, and we like it when they win. But what we really need is for the USA to qualify for the Rugby World Cup. To do that, they need to win a game. Yes, just one game. With Japan and Fiji having already qualified thanks to their RWC 2023 performance, what anyone needs to do to qualify in the PNC is to finish among the top three of the four remaining teams. So, really, barring something weird, if you win one game in pool play, you're in the semifinals and, unless Japan and Fiji are playing for 5th (which won't happen) you're in. If you go 0-2 in pool play and then win the 5th-6th game (unless you beat Fiji or Japan, a scenario which is highly unlikely) you're in.
All of this is to say that a win or a loss against Spain is informative, but not the end goal.
However, they did playing well-ish but not perfectly against Belgium and they did lose to Spain. Going into the England test, we figured we'd take a look at that:
Time Together
The issue of time together is not going away, and perhaps is getting bigger and more important. The USA has changed their test windows a couple of years ago to better accommodate the American rugby calendar.
So really the Eagles use a Southern Hemisphere test match window situation, with games in July, August, and November, but not February/March. That makes it a ton easier to ensure players are available, but it also means that when the USA assembles in late June, they won't have played together for over six months. Meanwhile, teams in Europe have played together more recently. Belgium played Portugal, Romania, Germany, Switzerland, and Netherlands. Spain played Netherlands, Switzerland, Portugal, and Georgia, who they played twice.
Both did well. Belgium went 1-2 in pool play but beat Switzerland and Netherlands to finish 5th in the Rugby Europe Championship. Spain beat everyone except Georgia, ultimately taking 2nd in the Rugby Europe Championship. So Spain came into this game having played five very tough internationals in February and March. They were only a couple of months removed from playing as a cohesive unit.
During that same time, the USA players were doing what they could on their own and remotely, but they last played a game ... November 23 against Spain. This matters. The Eagles' connections aren't quite there, and Spain's were better.
Execution Matters
One of the infuriating things about the USA performances these last two weeks is knock-ons. Players are trying to show that they are willing to do anything to make that extra meter, but that's not rugby. Rugby is about making what you can ... what makes sense. Putting all that effort into a hard carry and losing the ball isn't good. Ball security is hugely important. Yes, this past weekend, it rained and it was hot and humid and the ball was covered in perspiration and rainwater ... but these are the most grippable balls in the history of the sport; adjust to the conditions.
When this writer coaches young players about retaining possession in poor conditions I say this: "Catch the ball." How do you fix playing in rain or humidity or snow? "Catch the ball." What that means is, don't do those no-look catches where you expect the ball to just lodge in your midsection. Concentrate on the catch before you do anything else. Did the Eagles do that? Yes, a lot of the time. But they lost possession at crucial moments in part because the conditions required special concentration.
No one is going to award you extra points for catching the ball without looking and then scoring ... we just want to you score.