Here are the Week 6 Power Index ratings powered by Silverback Elite Rugby.
We've got a FAQ in our previous rankings which you can see here>>
Upsets
This model hedges its bets and real change, upward or downward, requires multiple results. The major exception to the rule is upsets. There were three key upsets that had a big impact in Week 5: Colorado over Grand Canyon, Sam Houston over Texas A&M, and Indiana over Notre Dame College.
You’d be right to point out that last week, Indiana was ranked three spots ahead of Notre Dame College. However, the Index does give teams a bump when playing at home. That’s why lower-ranked NDC went in as favorites and the away win counted as an upset for the Hoosiers.
Colleges connect with HS Players; High School players connect with colleges. Get the Next Phase Rugby App.
Need More Data
This week, we got enough info to add three more teams to the Top 40: Queens, Tennessee, and Mount St. Mary’s. We have three more teams we think are in the Top 40 but still need more data on before we are confident ranking: Dartmouth, Iowa Central, and St. Joseph’s. This week the Tritons host Davenport which will be useful in determining their standing in the Index. An upset win over Army would give us a better picture of Dartmouth as well.
Who’s In, Who’s Out
Notre Dame returns to the Top 40 with a big win over Cincinnati. With upcoming matches against Ohio State, Bowling Green, Davenport, and Indiana, a win streak could launch the Irish up in the rankings.
Making way for Notre Dame and the three new additions are Fordham (Inactive), North Texas (Inactive), Wisconsin (Close Loss vs Michigan), and UMass (Close Loss vs Tufts).
|
Rank |
Chance |
Prev |
School |
Comp |
Group |
Week 5 |
PREV RAT |
CURR RAT |
Δ RAT |
1 |
0 |
1 |
Lindenwood |
D1A |
ELITE |
|
97.64 |
97.64 |
0.00 |
2 |
0 |
2 |
California |
D1A |
ELITE |
|
97.29 |
97.29 |
0.00 |
3 |
0 |
3 |
Life |
D1A |
ELITE |
|
96.94 |
96.94 |
0.00 |
4 |
0 |
4 |
St. Mary's |
D1A |
ELITE |
|
95.51 |
95.51 |
0.00 |
5 |
0 |
5 |
Central Washington |
D1A |
ELITE |
|
91.68 |
91.68 |
0.00 |
6 |
0 |
6 |
Arkansas State |
D1A |
ELITE |
|
86.95 |
86.95 |
0.00 |
7 |
0 |
7 |
Navy |
NCR1 |
ELITE |
Big Win vs Southern Virginia |
86.47 |
86.47 |
0.00 |
8 |
0 |
8 |
Arizona |
D1A |
ELITE |
|
85.50 |
85.50 |
0.00 |
9 |
0 |
9 |
BYU |
D1A |
ELITE |
|
85.06 |
85.06 |
0.00 |
10 |
0 |
10 |
Army |
NCR1 |
ELITE |
Close Win vs Penn State |
83.37 |
83.93 |
0.56 |
11 |
0 |
11 |
Kutztown |
NCR1 |
ELITE |
|
81.14 |
81.14 |
0.00 |
12 |
1 |
13 |
Davenport |
D1A |
ELITE |
|
77.38 |
77.38 |
0.00 |
13 |
1 |
14 |
UCLA |
D1A |
ELITE |
|
76.25 |
76.25 |
0.00 |
14 |
1 |
15 |
Penn State |
NCR1 |
ELITE |
Close Loss vs Army |
76.02 |
75.46 |
-0.56 |
15 |
2 |
17 |
Indiana |
D1A |
ELITE |
Big Win vs Notre Dame College |
70.90 |
74.76 |
3.86 |
16 |
-4 |
12 |
Grand Canyon |
D1A |
ELITE |
Close Loss vs Colorado |
78.41 |
74.29 |
-4.12 |
17 |
-1 |
16 |
Iona |
NCR1 |
ELITE |
Big Win vs Stony Brook |
70.92 |
70.92 |
0.00 |
18 |
0 |
18 |
Oklahoma |
D1A |
ELITE |
|
70.66 |
70.66 |
0.00 |
19 |
0 |
19 |
Northeastern |
NCR1 |
ELITE |
Close Win vs Fairfield |
69.66 |
70.49 |
0.83 |
20 |
1 |
21 |
St. Bonaventure |
NCR1 |
ELITE |
|
68.61 |
68.61 |
0.00 |
21 |
2 |
23 |
Colorado |
D1A |
ELITE |
Close Win vs Grand Canyon |
62.07 |
66.19 |
4.12 |
22 |
-2 |
20 |
Notre Dame College |
NCR1 |
ELITE |
Big Loss vs Indiana |
68.98 |
65.12 |
-3.86 |
23 |
-1 |
22 |
Boston College |
NCR1 |
ELITE |
Big Win vs Rhodes Island |
62.35 |
62.35 |
0.00 |
24 |
|
UR |
Queens University |
NCR1 |
D1 |
Close Win vs Mount St. Mary's |
60.00 |
61.93 |
1.93 |
25 |
0 |
25 |
Utah Valley |
D1A |
ELITE |
Big Win vs Utah State |
59.90 |
59.90 |
0.00 |
26 |
0 |
26 |
Bowling Green |
D1AA |
D1 |
Big Win vs Dayton |
59.63 |
59.63 |
0.00 |
27 |
0 |
27 |
Ohio State |
D1A |
ELITE |
Big Win vs Michigan State |
59.46 |
59.46 |
0.00 |
28 |
0 |
28 |
Adrian College |
NCR2 |
D2 |
Big Win vs Grand Valley State |
59.42 |
59.42 |
0.00 |
29 |
0 |
29 |
Mary Washington |
NCR1 |
D1 |
Big Win vs Maryland |
59.40 |
59.40 |
0.00 |
30 |
0 |
30 |
Illinois |
D1A |
ELITE |
|
59.25 |
59.25 |
0.00 |
31 |
|
UR |
Tennessee |
D1AA |
D1 |
Close Win vs Kentucky |
57.89 |
59.08 |
1.19 |
32 |
-1 |
31 |
Colorado State |
D1A |
ELITE |
Big Win vs Wyoming |
58.88 |
58.88 |
0.00 |
33 |
-1 |
32 |
Fairfield |
NCR1 |
ELITE |
Close Loss vs Northeastern |
58.61 |
57.78 |
-0.83 |
34 |
|
UR |
Mount St. Mary's |
NCR1 |
D1 |
Close Loss vs Queens University |
58.12 |
56.19 |
-1.93 |
35 |
-2 |
33 |
American International |
NCR1 |
ELITE |
|
55.96 |
55.96 |
0.00 |
36 |
-12 |
24 |
Texas A&M |
D1A |
ELITE |
Close Loss vs Sam Houston State |
60.64 |
55.07 |
-5.57 |
37 |
-3 |
34 |
Kentucky |
D1AA |
D1 |
Close Loss vs Tennessee |
55.78 |
54.59 |
-1.19 |
38 |
1 |
39 |
Syracuse |
NCR1 |
ELITE |
Big Win vs Binghamton |
51.33 |
53.99 |
2.66 |
39 |
-4 |
35 |
Baylor |
D1A |
ELITE |
|
53.62 |
53.62 |
0.00 |
40 |
|
UR |
Notre Dame |
NCR1 |
D1 |
Big Win vs Cincinnati |
49.63 |
52.34 |
2.71 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
On the Cusp |
NMD |
|
|
Dartmouth |
NCR1 |
D1 |
Big Win vs Penn |
65.00 |
65.00 |
0.00 |
NMD |
|
|
Iowa Central CC |
NCR1 |
D1 |
Big Wins vs Nebraska, Iowa |
65.00 |
65.00 |
0.00 |
NMD |
|
|
St. Joseph's |
NCR1 |
D1 |
Close Win vs Temple |
55.00 |
55.00 |
0.00 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Out of Top 40 |
OUT |
|
37 |
Fordham |
NCR1 |
ELITE |
Inactive |
51.70 |
51.70 |
0.00 |
OUT |
|
38 |
North Texas |
D1A |
ELITE |
Inactive |
51.55 |
51.55 |
0.00 |
OUT |
|
36 |
Wisconsin |
D1A |
ELITE |
Close Loss vs Michigan |
52.61 |
49.43 |
-3.18 |
OUT |
|
40 |
Massachusettes |
NCR1 |
ELITE |
Close Loss vs Tufts |
51.00 |
48.02 |
-2.98 |