Single-School Rankings Analysis
Single-School Rankings Analysis
The Goff Rugby Report / FloRugby Boys Single-School Rankings might be a little bit of a look into the Boys HS Rugby National Championships seedings.
Everyone knew that St. Ignatius was vulnerable at #1. It's not that they weren't deserving, but Jesuit has hardly put a foot wrong, and as a result, if anyone slipped at all, Jesuit was poised to pounce. As it was, Jesuit won over a top-ranked club team, Danville, and St. Ignatius lost to a highly-ranked school team, Penn.
What has also been an issue within the rankings has been how to judge a region if few teams play outside that region. Sometimes you just have to look at the games and judge the quality without context. Sometimes you look at the performance of one team that plays out of the region. With Utah, many of the teams stay inside the state. That's understandable given the fact that the state is pretty dense when it comes to high school rugby competition, and it's usually a pretty long drive to get anywhere else.
So what do you do with Utah? Do you look at what Snow Canyon and United have done outside the region and extrapolate? We do a little bit. United, despite a series of losses, remains a very capable rugby team. Their performance at the Pacific Cup was decent - not great, but good. And so if we say that teams in Utah that beat United are better than that level, we're thinking that Highland, Herriman, and Snow Canyon are stronger than the likes of Torrey Pines (which makes up most of the San Diego Mustangs), and La Costa Canyon (ditto, Coastal Dragons). It is a bit of a stretch, but sometimes all we have.
As the season progresses, don't count other teams out. The HS Nationals do not mean the season is over for everyone, and winning nationals doesn't always mean you're the undisputed #1.