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06.30.2020
vt vs ncsu 2019   vt rugby 1 2

Through all the discussion of which college conferences will join which college umbrella organization, we at Goff Rugby Report felt it was time once again to look at who is going where.

To do that we took official announcements, a little rumor, and plenty of analysis and guesswork to come up with some numbers.

We have moved some conferences from NCR to unattached because it's now reasonable to assume that at least some of the western small-college conferences might find another home given that NCR has committed to fall 15s championships. We have an asterisk on Liberty and Rugby East because it's highly possible that one or two of the teams from those conferences will opt for a different home. Four teams in Liberty—AIC, Northeastern, SUNY Oswego, and Boston College—would be leaving D1A earlier than contracted if they moved to NCR, and there's a fee for that early exit that the universities promised to pay. So we'll see if they make the move or not. 

Here's our overall breakdown of teams and players per umbrella organization.

 


Estimated Future College Totals
GroupPlayersTeams
NCR13634513
CRAA5904151
ACRA186062
NIRA82823
Unnamed Men/s D1222653
Currently Unattached296697
Total27418899

These numbers do not include the small-college teams that aren't verified as being viable (the old NSCRO numbers had as many as 237 men's small-college teams, but we went through that list and there are a lot of "pending" teams). Our estimates of players is low. We went through a long list of rosters and came up with average roster sizes. With the COVID-19 pandemic throwing everything into doubt, we decided to err on the side of being cautious. So when a conference might have had an average roster size of 30, we've dropped it to 27. The largest roster-per-team conference, the Liberty, remains so, but at a lower level than in 2019-2020.

These numbers are also completely unrelated to what is probably going to happen in 2020-2021. Take these to be relevant for the fall of 2021.

Here's the breakdown by umbrella organization:


NCR
DivisionConferencesTeamsEst. Players
D1A MenLiberty*191121
D1 MenMARC, Chesapeake17590
D1 Elite WomenXXX
D1 WomenMidwest4100
D2 WomenGreat Waters, Upstate NY, Ohio Valley, Allegheny, Northern Lights, Illinois, SARC501250
D2 MenGreat Lakes, Great MW, Cardinals, Gateway, MCRC, Southern, Allegheny, Northern Lights, Deep South, MARC, Tri-State, NEWCRC, Rocky Mountain982768
D3 or Small-College WomenAllegheny, Carolinas, Capital, Cascades, Colonial Coast, East Penn, Great Waters, Illinois, Northern Lights, Ohio Valley, Pacific Desert, Prairie States, RNE, Texas, Tri-State, Upstate NY, Independents1603680
Small-College MenCardinals, Chicago, Colonial Coast, Deep South, Dixie, Florida, Georgia, Great Lakes, Mid-America, Mid-Atlantic, Midwest, Minnesota, New England, Potomac, Southern, Three Rivers, Tri-State, Upstate NY, Wisconsin1654125
Total6551313634
    

CRAA
DivisionConferencesTeamsEst. Players
D1A MenCalifornia, PAC, Mid-South, Red River, Rocky Mountain, Independents, Big 10, Rugby East*402320
D1 MenXXX
D1 Elite WomenIndependents4170
D1 WomenBig 10, Blue Ridges, Florida, Northeast, Pacific Desert, Pacific Mountain, Rocky Mountain, Texas, Independents682244
D2 WomenCapital, Carolinas, Florida, SIRC, Pacific Desert391170
D2 MenXXX
D3 or Small-College WomenXXX
Small-College MenXXX
Total241515904
    

ACRA
DivisionConferencesTeamsEst. Players
D1A MenXXX
D1 MenXXX
D1 Elite WomenXXX
D1 WomenXXX
D2 WomenTri-State, NEWCRC, MARC, RNE621860
D2 MenXXX
D3 or Small-College WomenXXX
Small-College MenXXX
Total4621860
    

NIRA
DivisionConferencesTeamsEst. Players
D1A MenXXX
D1 MenXXX
D1 Elite WomenXXX
D1 WomenNCAA D18296
D2 WomenNCAA D27252
D2 MenXXX
D3 or Small-College WomenNCAA D38280
Small-College MenXXX
Total323828
    

Unnamed Men's D1
DivisionConferencesTeamsEst. Players
D1A MenXXX
D1 MenMAC, Heart of America, NCRC, Lonestar, Gold Coast, Pac West, Florida532226
D1 Elite WomenXXX
D1 WomenXXX
D2 WomenXXX
D2 MenXXX
D3 or Small-College WomenXXX
Small-College MenXXX
Total7532226
    

Unattached or Undeclared
DivisionConferencesTeamsEst. Players
D1A MenXXX
D1 MenSCRC, Ivy League, Independants (Iowa Central, Univ. Notre Dame)18756
D1 Elite WomenXXX
D1 WomenXXX
D2 WomenCascade, Great Lakes, Lonestar, MAC, Rocky Mountain, West Coast, SoCal421260
D2 MenSCRC, Independents, Rocky Mountain15400
D3 or Small-College WomenXXX
Small-College MenLonestar, NCRC, NorCal22550
Total11972966

 

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