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Men DI College Rankings Spring 2017 Week #6

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Men DI College Rankings Spring 2017 Week #6

Who's better, Clemson or Davenport? This past weekend's result didn't really answer that. Steven Zomberg photo.

People ask us how we put together these rankings, and we have to admit that sometimes it's a gestalt thing - just go with a feeling.

We do use as much data as we can, but sometimes the data doesn't help ... the data makes it more confusing. Sometimes we have to look at the rankings and just use our imagination - if Team A played Team B at the best possible time for both, who would win? It's tough to know sometimes, but that might be the explanation why a team is idle this week (or any week) and moves up or down.

In addition, sometimes we get results (data) that make our job more difficult. Three results come as examples for us: October 22, 2016, Notre Dame College 31 Indiana 30; October 1, 2016, Air Force 32 Navy 31; February 25, 2017, Clemson 34 Davenport 33.

All of these games were a situation where what we thought was the better team lost by a single point. In two of the examples the losing team was on the road and not in the prime of its season. In the other (NDC at Indiana), the losing team was missing two of their best players, one because he was training with the USA team (Bryce Campbell, who is still with the Eagles). Davenport's loss to Clemson comes as Clemson has had several games to get into the season, and Davenport has had to huddle up against winter, not play since November, and then go on the road.

Because of these results, we are pushed to rank Clemson ahead of Davenport, who is ahead of Notre Dame College due to a 26-24 win in October, and then NDC over Indiana, who also just lost to Arkansas State. And Air Force should be ahead of Navy.

But here's where it gets especially complicated. Navy beat Clemson 15-10 on a weekend when Clemson was also fielding a couple of 7s teams. Meanwhile, Air Force's results outside of their conference have not been good. They've played a bunch of good teams, and been beaten convincingly. In addition, other teams from the West DIA have struggled outside of their conference. Doe we take Navy's win over Clemson at face value, but then ignore their losses to Notre Dame College and Air Force? What about Davenport's 15-12 win over Arkansas State last fall? 

In the end, we've decided to de-emphasize some of these problematic results and move things around, but maybe not to anyone's liking. We forgive, but we don't forget. If Clemson pulls off another big result and Navy, say, beats Dartmouth convincingly this weekend, or if Indiana gets blown out by Penn State (or vice-versa) we might go back to those other results and revisit. At the moment, though, we've moved Clemson up, but a lone one-point win at home doesn't prove you're better than Davenport over the long run; we move Navy up, but Navy has to win more games; we move Arkansas State up, but Indiana hangs around, and is now ahead of Notre Dame College based on gestalt.

Arizona moves up after beating Arizona State. Cal Poly got thrashed by Saint Mary's and moves down. Arkansas and Baylor move up because we think they're good. LSU moves up because Arkansas State logged a good result, and LSU is on their coattails.

Oh, and by the way, there is currently a solid gap between the top four and the rest (although BYU could bounce back up to that top group fairly easily), and a massive gap between the top seven and the rest. 

 

 

2016-17 Spring All-DI Men College Rankings Week #6
Rank Prev Team Notes
1 1 Saint Mary's Bt. Cal Poly (14)
2 2 Life Bt. Lindenwood (7)
3 3 California Idle
4 4 Central Washington Idle
5 5 Penn State Idle
6 6 BYU Bt. Colorado (41), Air Force (33)
7 7 Lindenwood Lost to Life (2)
8 10 Davenport Lost to Clemson (40) 34-33
9 20 Arkansas State Bt. Indiana (9)
10 9 Indiana Lost to Arkansas State (20)
11 8 Notre Dame College Idle
12 11 Army Old Blue
13 12 Utah Idle
14 24 LSU Idle
15 13 San Diego State Bt. UCSB
16 40 Clemson Bt. Davenport (10) 34-33
17 21 Arizona Bt. Arizona State (22)
18 15 Bowling Green 7s
19 16 Wisconsin Idle
20 17 Ohio State 7s
21 18 UC-Davis Bt. UCSC
22 19 AIC Idle
23 22 Arizona State Lost to Arizona (21)
24 23 UCLA Bt. USC
25 34 Navy Bt. Nofolk Blues
26 25 Lindenwood-Belleville 7s
27 27 Boston College Idle
28 14 Cal Poly Lost to Saint Mary's (1)
29 28 Wheeling Jesuit 7s
30 29 Kutztown 7s
31 30 Iona Idle
32 31 Western Washington Bt. EWU
33 38 Baylor Bt. Texas Tech
34 43 Arkansas Idle
35 36 Alabama 7s
36 32 Colorado State Idle
37 33 Air Force Lost to BYU (6)
38 35 Dartmouth Idle
39 26 James Madison 7s
40 37 Tennessee Idle
41 39 Kentucky 7s
42 44 South Carolina 7s
43 47 Oklahoma 7s
44 48 Santa Clara Bt. Sacramento State
45 49 Missouri Nebraska
46 50 MTSU 7s
47 50 Florida State Idle
48 42 Mt. St. Mary's 7s
49 45 Cincinnati 7s
50 41 Colorado Lost to BYU (6)
51 46 Washington Bt. Boise State
52 Unr Florida International Bt. South Florida, North Florida
53 Unr Oregon Bt. Western Oregon
54 Unr St. Joseph's Idle
55 Unr Gonzaga Idle